Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.108628 0.127793 0.149221 0.174938 0.204951 0.238860 0.280066
2025-11-16 0.079463 0.103929 0.134171 0.174232 0.225851 0.290070 0.375996
2025-11-23 0.061280 0.086797 0.120799 0.169290 0.236542 0.326392 0.455448
2025-11-30 0.051702 0.078178 0.115695 0.172517 0.256177 0.374590 0.554694
2025-12-07 0.043859 0.070219 0.109630 0.172527 0.270060 0.415171 0.647053
2025-12-14 0.036897 0.062210 0.101937 0.168404 0.276393 0.444412 0.725031
2025-12-21 0.032095 0.056736 0.097154 0.167749 0.287406 0.481275 0.818265
2025-12-28 0.029365 0.054211 0.096650 0.173745 0.309561 0.537874 0.949401
2026-01-04 0.027321 0.052522 0.097226 0.181460 0.335271 0.602821 1.101542
2026-01-11 0.025068 0.050089 0.096097 0.185854 0.355419 0.660066 1.246249
2026-01-18 0.022562 0.046791 0.092909 0.185936 0.367500 0.703957 1.371279
2026-01-25 0.019631 0.042222 0.086698 0.179381 0.366111 0.722700 1.451081
2026-02-01 0.016678 0.037317 0.079464 0.170446 0.360138 0.734321 1.523251
2026-02-08 0.014943 0.034735 0.076609 0.170120 0.371622 0.781661 1.672860
2026-02-15 0.013062 0.031525 0.071964 0.165333 0.373125 0.809015 1.784903
2026-02-22 0.012057 0.030141 0.071053 0.168490 0.391949 0.874129 1.983752
2026-03-01 0.010944 0.028318 0.068890 0.168501 0.403745 0.925529 2.158901
2026-03-08 0.009706 0.025986 0.065218 0.164472 0.405750 0.955625 2.290088
2026-03-15 0.008821 0.024403 0.063096 0.163832 0.415562 1.004256 2.469167
2026-03-22 0.008384 0.023917 0.063590 0.169691 0.441759 1.093546 2.753827
2026-03-29 0.008060 0.023686 0.064692 0.177231 0.473057 1.198354 3.087773
2026-04-05 0.007604 0.023012 0.064553 0.181526 0.496652 1.287161 3.392595
2026-04-12 0.007006 0.021838 0.062920 0.181605 0.509287 1.350273 3.640127